{"id":1929,"date":"2025-01-06T14:42:02","date_gmt":"2025-01-06T05:42:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/digital-jurist.com\/?p=1929"},"modified":"2026-02-14T10:44:30","modified_gmt":"2026-02-14T01:44:30","slug":"nature%ec%a7%80-%ec%a7%80%ea%b5%ac-%ec%98%a8%eb%82%9c%ed%99%94%ea%b0%80-%ea%b0%80%ec%86%8d%ed%99%94%eb%90%98%ea%b3%a0-%ec%9e%88%eb%8a%94%ea%b0%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/digital-jurist.com\/?p=1929","title":{"rendered":"[Nature] \uc9c0\uad6c \uc628\ub09c\ud654\uac00 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub294\uac00?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"image_print\"<\/a><\/div>\n

By\u00a0Jeff Tollefson<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

*Source :\u00a0https:\/\/www.nature.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\ub09c 2\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc9c0\uad6c\uc758 \uc628\ub3c4\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uace0, \uae30\ud6c4 \uacfc\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uace7 2024\ub144\uc5d0\u00a0\uc0b0\uc5c5\ud654 \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uc900\ubcf4\ub2e4 1.5\u00b0C \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uc774\uc815\ud45c\uc5d0<\/a>\u00a0\ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud560 \uac83 \uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc774 \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uae09\uc99d\uc740 \uae30\ud6c4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc778 \ud604\uc0c1\uc77c \ubfd0\uc778\uc9c0, \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc0dd\uac01\ud588\ub358 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc9c0\uad6c\uac00 \ub354 \ube60\ub978 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \ub728\uac70\uc6cc\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ucd08\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc77c\uae4c\uc694?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uadf8 \uc9c8\ubb38\uc740 \uc218\ub9ce\uc740 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc758 \uc911\uc2ec\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\uace0, \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134 DC\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b0 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc9c0\uad6c\ubb3c\ub9ac\ud559 \uc5f0\ud569(American Geophysical Union, AGU) \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud55c \uc138\uc158\uc774 \uc788\uc5c8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd80 \uacfc\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uae09\uc99d\uc774 \uc8fc\ub85c \ub450 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc694\uc778\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud558\ub098\ub294 2023\ub144 \uc911\ubc18\uc5d0 \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \uc5d8\ub2c8\ub1e8 \ud604\uc0c1\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub530\ub73b\ud55c \ubb3c\uc774 \ub3d9\ubd80 \uc5f4\ub300 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591\uc5d0 \ubaa8\uc5ec \uc885\uc885 \ub354\uc6b4 \uae30\uc628\uacfc \ub354 \ub09c\ub958\ub97c \uc720\ubc1c\ud558\ub294 \uc790\uc5f0\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uae30\uc0c1 \ud328\ud134\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub978 \ud558\ub098\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c \uba87 \ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \ub300\uae30 \uc624\uc5fc\uc774 \uac10\uc18c\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \uc774\ub294 \ud587\ube5b\uc744 \uc6b0\uc8fc\ub85c \ubc18\uc0ac\ud558\uace0 \ub0ae\uc740 \uad6c\ub984\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud558\uc5ec \uc9c0\uad6c\ub97c \uc2dd\ud790 \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5b4\ub290 \uc124\uba85\ub3c4 \uae30\uc628 \uae09\uc99d\uc744 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uc124\uba85\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AGU \ud68c\uc758 \uc9c1\uc804\uc778 12\uc6d4 Science<\/em>\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc5f0\uad6c\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uad6c\ub984\uc774 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uad6c\ud300\uc740 \ubd81\ubc18\uad6c \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uacfc \uc5f4\ub300 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc5d0\uc11c \uc800\uc9c0\ub300 \uad6c\ub984 \ub36e\uac1c\uac00 \uac10\uc18c\ud55c \uac83\uc744 \ud655\uc778\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub294 \uc5d8\ub2c8\ub1e8\uc640 \uacb0\ud569\ud558\uc5ec 2023\ub144 \uae30\uc628 \uae09\ub4f1\uc744 \uc124\uba85\ud558\uae30\uc5d0 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ucef8\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774 \uac10\uc18c\uc758 \uc6d0\uc778\uacfc \uc774\ub97c \uc815\uc0c1\uc801\uc778 \uae30\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ud654\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\uc9c0 \uc5ec\ubd80\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubbf8\uc2a4\ud130\ub9ac\ub77c\uace0 \uc800\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub300\uae30 \uc624\uc5fc \uac10\uc18c\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc774\ub97c \uc124\uba85\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\ub294 \ub4ef\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 \uc9c0\uad6c \uc628\ub09c\ud654 \uc790\uccb4\uac00 \uad6c\ub984 \ub36e\uac1c\ub97c \uc5b4\ub290 \uc815\ub3c4 \uac10\uc18c\uc2dc\ucf1c \uc218\uc2ed \ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \uae30\ud6c4 \ubcc0\ud654 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub97c \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud53c\ub4dc\ubc31 \ub8e8\ud504\ub97c \uc0dd\uc131\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc81c\uc548\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ub3c5\uc77c \ube0c\ub808\uba38\ud558\ud39c\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 \uc54c\ud504\ub808\ub4dc \ubca0\uac8c\ub108 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c(Alfred Wegener Institute)\uc758 \uae30\ud6c4 \ubb3c\ub9ac\ud559\uc790\uc778 \uacf5\ub3d9 \uc800\uc790 \ud5ec\uac8c \uad34\uc2ac\ub9c1(Helge Goessling)\uc740 “\uc774\uac83\uc774 [\uac00\uc18d\uc758] \uba85\ubc31\ud55c \uc99d\uac70\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud558\ub294 \ub370\ub294 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \uc870\uc2ec\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b8 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubb54\uac00 \uc77c\uc5b4\ub098\uace0 \uc788\uc744 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4”\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\uad6c \uc628\ub3c4 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \uc774\uc804\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc788\uc5c8\ub294\ub370, \uacfc\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc65c \uc774 \ubb38\uc81c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uadf8\ub807\uac8c \uac71\uc815\ud558\ub294 \uac78\uae4c\uc694?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ud55c \uac00\uc9c0 \uc774\uc720\ub294\u00a02023\ub144 \uc9c0\uad6c \uc628\ub3c4\uac00 \uc0b0\uc5c5\ud654 \uc774\uc804 \uae30\uc900\uc120\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud3c9\uade0 1.45\u00b0C \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\uc5ec \ucc28\ud2b8\ub97c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub0ac\uae30<\/a>\u00a0\ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc774\uc804 \uae30\ub85d\uc744 \uae68\ub294 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc628\ub09c\ud654\ub294 \uacfc\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc774\uc804 \ucd94\uc138\uc640 \ubaa8\ub378\ub9c1\uc744 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\ub358 \ubc94\uc704\ub97c \ubc97\uc5b4\ub0a9\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\uc628\ub3c4<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\ucd9c\ucc98: Copernicus Climate Change Service\/European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \uc791\ub144\ub3c4 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub354\uc6e0\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uacfc\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc740\u00a02024\ub144 \ucd08\uac00 \uc5d8\ub2c8\ub1e8\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ub354\uc6b8 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc608\uce21\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4<\/a>. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uadf8\ub4e4\uc740 \ub610\ud55c \uc791\ub144 6\uc6d4 \uae30\uc0c1 \ud328\ud134\uc774 \uac00\ub77c\uc549\uace0 \uc801\ub3c4 \ud0dc\ud3c9\uc591\uc758 \uc870\uac74\uc774 \uc815\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc628 \ud6c4\uc5d0\ub294 \uae30\uc628\uc774 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uce98\ub9ac\ud3ec\ub2c8\uc544\uc758 \ube44\uc601\ub9ac \uae30\uad6c\uc778 \ubc84\ud074\ub9ac \uc5b4\uc2a4(Berkeley Earth)\uc758 \uae30\ud6c4 \uacfc\ud559\uc790\uc778 \uc81c\uc774\ud06c \ud558\uc6b0\uc2a4\ud30c\ub354(Zeke Hausfather)\ub294 “\uadf8\ub7f0 \uc77c\uc740 \uc77c\uc5b4\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4”\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc84\ud074\ub9ac \uc5b4\uc2a4\ub294 \uc9c0\uad6c \uc628\ub3c4\ub97c \ucd94\uc801\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub300\uc2e0 \uc9c0\uad6c \uc628\ub3c4\ub294 \uacc4\uc18d \ub192\uc544\uc838 \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \uae30\ub85d\uc744 \uae68\uace0 \uc791\ub144\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\uc0c1 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub354\uc6b4 \ud574\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e4 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. “\uc62c\ud574 \ucd08\uc5d0 \uc608\uce21\uc744 \ud55c \uc6b0\ub9ac \ubaa8\ub450\ub294 2024\ub144\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub354\uc6b8\uc9c0 \uacfc\uc18c\ud3c9\uac00\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uac00\uc18d\uc758 \uc99d\uac70\uac00 \uc788\ub098\uc694?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\uc77c\ubd80\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5c4\uccad\ub09c \uae30\uc628 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc774 \ubc14\ub2e4\ub97c \ud56d\ud574\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubc15\uc758 \ub300\uae30 \uc624\uc5fc\uc744 \ub2e4\ub8e8\ub294 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uaddc\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uae30\ud6c4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc778 \ubcc0\ud654\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. 2020\ub144\uc5d0 \uc720\uc5d4 \uad6d\uc81c \ud574\uc0ac\uae30\uad6c(United Nations International Maritime Organisation)\ub294 \uad6d\uc81c \ud574\uc5ed\uc744 \ud56d\ud574\ud558\ub294 \uc120\ubc15\uc758 \uc720\ud669 \ubc30\ucd9c\ub7c9\uc744 80% \uc904\uc774\ub3c4\ub85d \uc694\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uaddc\uce59\uc744 \uc2dc\ud589\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. 8\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \uc704\uc131 \uc774\ubbf8\uc9c0 \ubd84\uc11d\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc720\ud669\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub41c \uc624\uc5fc \uc785\uc790\uac00 \uc800\uc9c0\ub300 \uc548\uac1c\ub97c \ud615\uc131\ud560 \ub54c \ud615\uc131\ub418\ub294 \uc120\ubc15 \uada4\uc801\uc774 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \uac10\uc18c\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 Goessling \ud300\uc774 \uc9c0\uc801\ud55c \uad6c\ub984 \ub36e\uac1c\uc758 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uac10\uc18c\uc640 \uc0c1\uad00\uad00\uacc4\uac00 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134 \uc8fc \ub9ac\uce58\ub79c\ub4dc\uc5d0 \uc788\ub294 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory\uc758 \uae30\ud6c4 \uacfc\ud559\uc790 Andrew Gettelman\uc740 “\uac70\uc758 \ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \uc99d\uac70\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4”\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud569\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub9cc\uc57d Gettelman\uc774 \uc5b8\uae09\ud55c \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc774 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc774\ub77c\uba74, \ucd5c\uadfc \uae30\uc628 \uae09\ub4f1\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc624\uc5fc \ubcc0\ud654\uc640 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc5d8\ub2c8\ub1e8 \ud604\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc77c\ud68c\uc131 \ud604\uc0c1\uc77c \uc218 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud560 \uac83\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\"image_print\"<\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By\u00a0Jeff Tollefson *Source :\u00a0https:\/\/www.nature.com\/ \uc9c0\ub09c 2\ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc9c0\uad6c\uc758 \uc628\ub3c4\uac00 \uae09\ub4f1\ud588\uace0, \uae30\ud6c4 \uacfc\ud559\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uace7 2024\ub144\uc5d0\u00a0\uc0b0\uc5c5\ud654 \uc774\uc804 \uc218\uc900\ubcf4\ub2e4 1.5\u00b0C \uc774\uc0c1 \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud558\ub294 \uc774\uc815\ud45c\uc5d0\u00a0\ub3c4\ub2ec\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud560 \uac83 \uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc774 \uac11\uc791\uc2a4\ub7ec\uc6b4 \uae09\uc99d\uc740 \uae30\ud6c4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc77c\uc2dc\uc801\uc778 \ud604\uc0c1\uc77c \ubfd0\uc778\uc9c0, \uc544\ub2c8\uba74 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc0dd\uac01\ud588\ub358 \uac83\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc9c0\uad6c\uac00 \ub354 \ube60\ub978 \uc18d\ub3c4\ub85c \ub728\uac70\uc6cc\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ucd08\uae30 \uc9c0\ud45c\uc77c\uae4c\uc694? \uadf8 \uc9c8\ubb38\uc740 \uc218\ub9ce\uc740 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc758 \uc911\uc2ec\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\uace0, \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec \uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134 DC\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b0 \ubbf8\uad6d…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1930,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,2803],"tags":[1621,1623,1625,1622,1624,1620,1619],"class_list":["post-1929","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-science","category-science-tech","tag-agu","tag-climate-change","tag-el-nino","tag-1622","tag-1624","tag-1620","tag-1619"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/digital-jurist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/climate-change-1908381_1280-e1736576057231.png?fit=1032%2C750&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/digital-jurist.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1929","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/digital-jurist.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/digital-jurist.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/digital-jurist.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/digital-jurist.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1929"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/digital-jurist.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1929\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1935,"href":"https:\/\/digital-jurist.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1929\/revisions\/1935"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/digital-jurist.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1930"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/digital-jurist.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1929"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/digital-jurist.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1929"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/digital-jurist.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1929"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}